Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 58.420344 66.485082 74.796598 83.969223 93.775925 103.916053 115.163159
2025-05-04 45.497353 56.857728 69.172579 83.375503 99.172735 116.084207 135.439847
2025-05-11 37.485623 50.469965 65.103995 82.531625 102.453841 124.278303 149.762964
2025-05-18 32.228707 46.404725 62.936159 83.159112 106.793179 133.154428 164.410403
2025-05-25 27.480322 42.322658 60.217505 82.666390 109.433263 139.768056 176.213857
2025-06-01 23.946926 39.322903 58.443626 82.976084 112.740802 146.931674 188.464840
2025-06-08 20.407647 35.918946 55.847704 82.008108 114.298721 151.879140 198.010466
2025-06-15 18.305684 34.210833 55.215524 83.306349 118.456783 159.784552 210.925964
2025-06-22 16.525476 32.756885 54.765760 84.713843 122.657676 167.679375 223.790822
2025-06-29 14.203366 30.266436 52.746926 83.957620 124.063695 172.139289 232.530688
2025-07-06 11.769596 27.322134 49.893022 81.933378 123.737954 174.395100 238.556418
2025-07-13 11.180912 27.224556 50.972232 85.080322 129.934814 184.588697 254.101132
2025-07-20 10.241144 26.475225 51.094742 86.955793 134.557160 192.934323 267.542716
2025-07-27 8.750326 24.613256 49.483394 86.393413 135.986987 197.316604 276.184996
2025-08-03 7.368040 22.747035 47.728796 85.524727 136.934788 201.039332 283.979406
2025-08-10 6.480804 21.676744 47.100849 86.166635 139.820765 207.156967 294.689141
2025-08-17 5.462537 20.189029 45.719469 85.663267 141.134000 211.260110 302.901159
2025-08-24 4.715087 19.135042 44.949641 85.979576 143.501805 216.672479 312.717044
2025-08-31 3.840490 17.629650 43.337502 84.990970 144.054338 219.737045 319.597231
2025-09-07 3.420052 17.103617 43.315561 86.316852 147.732981 226.793331 331.449709
2025-09-14 3.056159 16.650114 43.382308 87.754112 151.554884 234.034750 343.544304
2025-09-21 2.452745 15.422269 42.021083 86.981921 152.296520 237.278153 350.617226
2025-09-28 1.800486 13.824150 39.872848 84.914645 151.172099 238.051645 354.546066